Agartala, Feb 24, 2013 : Tripura’s premiere news and views website www.tripurainfo.com today released its opinion poll for the 11th state legislative assembly elections, which was held from February 14 last.
As per the opinion poll conducted tripurainfo.com predicted that Left Front allies can get minimum of 42 seats and maximum of 52 seats, whereas opposition Congress allies can secure minimum of 8 seats and maximum of 18 assembly constituencies. The opinion poll also predicted that at least 10 seats have fifty-fifty chances for both the rival formations.
During the February 14-23, the survey was conducted in all 60 assembly constituencies of the state. The survey was held in 300 polling stations and a total of 15,558 respondents statement were recorded through online and offline.
Tripurainfo’s traditional opinion polls technique was first used 15 years ago before 1998 assembly election and since then opinion polls survey in 2003 and 2008 assembly election respectively have been conducted. It was found the poll result was almost same as the declared result of Tripurainfo.com. This year will be the 4Th such opinion poll survey and website authority hope the survey methodology adopted would give some idea regarding which political parties will win how many seats and which political formation will form the new government. This time conducting the poll and gauging the possible outcome has proved to be a little bit tricky because of preponderance of certain crucial factors such as the highly populist manifesto released by Congress and its endorsement by Rahul Gandhi and union finance minister P. Chidambaram towards the end of the campaign and the possible swing this might have brought about in votes of employees , TSR personnel and pensioners plus the natural anti-incumbency factors and respective organizational strengths of parties in the fray. However, keeping in view all the factors the survey was carried out as exhaustively as possible and have yielded the above findings.
While conducting the survey the respective strengths and weaknesses of the two rival political formations led by CPI (M) and Congress have been kept in view. Besides, we have attached due importance to the small factors also which prove decisive in Tripura’s small assembly constituencies.
Tripurainfo conducted an ‘online’ survey through its website, where 51 percent visitors voted for LF government and 44 percent voted for Congress allies government.
A total of 53 percent visitors expressed their opposition to give a chance of ruling the state to Congress allies and 47 percent showed their preparedness to accept the formation Congress led government.
In a question ‘Do you think LF will win again?’, 51 percent visitors voted for LF and 41 percent voted for Congress allies. Altogether 49 percent people responded for good performances of LF government and 44 percent votes were recorded against the performance.
To another question about Manik Sarkar’s performances, 76 percent visitors voted in favour of Sarkar’s performance through ‘excellent, good and average’ categories and 24 percent voted for poor performances of Sarkar’s government. Similarly, 42 percent voted for Manik Sarkar as chief minister and 26 percent visitors voted for Sudip Roy Barman as next chief minister of Tripura. Incumbent Finance Minister Badal Choudhury get 13 percent votes of visitors as next chief minister and 8 percent vote in favour of opposition leader Ratanlal Nath as next chief minister of Tripura.
The online survey also showed that about 31 percent visitors feel that government failed in health sector and 15 percent said the failure was more in law and order, 18 percent said government failed in education, 15 percent feel that government also failed social welfare, while 21 percent voted in the ‘none of them’ category.
As per the opinion poll conducted tripurainfo.com predicted that Left Front allies can get minimum of 42 seats and maximum of 52 seats, whereas opposition Congress allies can secure minimum of 8 seats and maximum of 18 assembly constituencies. The opinion poll also predicted that at least 10 seats have fifty-fifty chances for both the rival formations.
During the February 14-23, the survey was conducted in all 60 assembly constituencies of the state. The survey was held in 300 polling stations and a total of 15,558 respondents statement were recorded through online and offline.
Tripurainfo’s traditional opinion polls technique was first used 15 years ago before 1998 assembly election and since then opinion polls survey in 2003 and 2008 assembly election respectively have been conducted. It was found the poll result was almost same as the declared result of Tripurainfo.com. This year will be the 4Th such opinion poll survey and website authority hope the survey methodology adopted would give some idea regarding which political parties will win how many seats and which political formation will form the new government. This time conducting the poll and gauging the possible outcome has proved to be a little bit tricky because of preponderance of certain crucial factors such as the highly populist manifesto released by Congress and its endorsement by Rahul Gandhi and union finance minister P. Chidambaram towards the end of the campaign and the possible swing this might have brought about in votes of employees , TSR personnel and pensioners plus the natural anti-incumbency factors and respective organizational strengths of parties in the fray. However, keeping in view all the factors the survey was carried out as exhaustively as possible and have yielded the above findings.
While conducting the survey the respective strengths and weaknesses of the two rival political formations led by CPI (M) and Congress have been kept in view. Besides, we have attached due importance to the small factors also which prove decisive in Tripura’s small assembly constituencies.
Tripurainfo conducted an ‘online’ survey through its website, where 51 percent visitors voted for LF government and 44 percent voted for Congress allies government.
A total of 53 percent visitors expressed their opposition to give a chance of ruling the state to Congress allies and 47 percent showed their preparedness to accept the formation Congress led government.
In a question ‘Do you think LF will win again?’, 51 percent visitors voted for LF and 41 percent voted for Congress allies. Altogether 49 percent people responded for good performances of LF government and 44 percent votes were recorded against the performance.
To another question about Manik Sarkar’s performances, 76 percent visitors voted in favour of Sarkar’s performance through ‘excellent, good and average’ categories and 24 percent voted for poor performances of Sarkar’s government. Similarly, 42 percent voted for Manik Sarkar as chief minister and 26 percent visitors voted for Sudip Roy Barman as next chief minister of Tripura. Incumbent Finance Minister Badal Choudhury get 13 percent votes of visitors as next chief minister and 8 percent vote in favour of opposition leader Ratanlal Nath as next chief minister of Tripura.
The online survey also showed that about 31 percent visitors feel that government failed in health sector and 15 percent said the failure was more in law and order, 18 percent said government failed in education, 15 percent feel that government also failed social welfare, while 21 percent voted in the ‘none of them’ category.
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